Analisis Risiko Harga pada Usahatani Tomat di Nagari Alahan Panjang Kabupaten Solok

Authors

  • Rihadatul Aisy Universitas Andalas
  • Nofialdi Universitas Andalas
  • Afrianingsih Putri Universitas Andalas, Sumatera Barat

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.25077/joseta.v7i3.854

Abstract

Tomatoes are valuable horticultural commodities with numerous benefits, but are highly vulnerable to price instability. This study analyzes price risk and management strategies in tomato farming in Nagari Alahan Panjang, Solok Regency. The research aims to identify sources of price risk, measure its level, and formulate effective management strategies. The ARCH/GARCH model is applied to forecast tomato price volatility, while variance, standard deviation, and the coefficient of variation determine the magnitude of risk. Results show that significant price drops and fluctuations occurred in April, September, and October 2022, with a coefficient of variation of 0.53, indicating a high level of price risk. Farmers in Alahan Panjang adopt two main strategies to manage this risk: preventive and mitigation. Preventive measures include better crop maintenance and intercropping, while mitigation efforts involve continuous harvesting, post-harvest processing, crop rotation, and delaying harvests to minimize losses caused by market fluctuations.

Author Biography

Afrianingsih Putri, Universitas Andalas, Sumatera Barat

Sinta ID : 5994543

Scopus ID : 57224616007

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Published

2025-12-31

Issue

Vol. 7 No. 3 (2025): December

Section

Research Articles

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Copyright (c) 2025 Rihadatul Aisy, Nofialdi, AFRIANINGSIH PUTRI, M.Si.

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